tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post8445464192340755487..comments2024-01-31T14:12:23.950-08:00Comments on Rob's Vegas and Poker Blog: I'm Not a Bad Enough Player to Beat This GameRobhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05767080296489122846noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-64153840160738434912019-03-15T11:11:27.403-07:002019-03-15T11:11:27.403-07:00What? No more automobile posts? You are ripping us...What? No more automobile posts? You are ripping us off! lightning36https://www.blogger.com/profile/05641629003610446976noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-43791834281600240662019-03-14T22:36:10.957-07:002019-03-14T22:36:10.957-07:00Well, this 1/2 game is better than at Bike or Comm...Well, this 1/2 game is better than at Bike or Commerce, where the max buy-in is $40-$50. Those games are god-awful.<br /><br />I could play 2/3 with a $300 cap in Ventura, but I was trying to play the 1/2 because I noticed how bad the players in that game were. But i'm thinking between the cap and the rake, it might be unbeatable. Have to re-think.<br /><br />Wish I could just play a normal, Vegas-style 1/2 game with $200 or $300 max buy-in, but they don't exist in L.A. area. Crazy.Robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05767080296489122846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-33644847052147109082019-03-14T22:23:38.637-07:002019-03-14T22:23:38.637-07:00Hi Rob Just glad you and your car made it back sa...Hi Rob Just glad you and your car made it back safely from Las Vegas. Unless you get in cheaply to hit those small sets it just makes it unprofitable to play in games like this. You almost have to move up to 1/3 no limit with a 300 hundred buy-in cap. Its like play big or go home poker. Maybe you should find a new casino that will take your action. Or not. Keep grinding.edh530https://www.blogger.com/profile/17350460500843652702noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-58102857004942312322019-03-13T12:47:28.214-07:002019-03-13T12:47:28.214-07:00Ain't that the truth.Ain't that the truth.Robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05767080296489122846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-31973223148034648262019-03-13T12:45:46.405-07:002019-03-13T12:45:46.405-07:00Wow, that's some heavy duty analysis, persuade...Wow, that's some heavy duty analysis, persuadeo. I really appreciate the input. I am going to have to review this over and over again to make sure I truly get it.<br /><br />I have been recently thinking this game is unbeatable in the long run. What drew me to it in the first place was that it seemed like the level of play by my opponents was so bad, it was really +EV. This was "validated" by the early results I had playing it. However, it now appearsI was just catching the upside of variance initially and that variance has caught up with me.<br /><br />Thanks again. Great food for thought.Robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05767080296489122846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-5103653919074972752019-03-13T12:04:01.950-07:002019-03-13T12:04:01.950-07:00Yes one of those days sucks when you keeping getti...Yes one of those days sucks when you keeping getting baby pairs and have to fold them at an aggressive table. It's shame those baby pairs could not be JJ or better so they can be played preflop.crazybitch88https://www.blogger.com/profile/14206817540655103197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8283462864090963789.post-53206698752315621272019-03-13T09:53:40.650-07:002019-03-13T09:53:40.650-07:00Alright, that can be frustrating but it is not the...Alright, that can be frustrating but it is not the real point. Basically your overall strategy is a losing one and can only be addressed working from the game structure up.<br /><br />This is because you are fighting two structural components, never mind even the players: the rake and the cap. In fact, as you will see, the players matter the least in this scenario given their strategies will be roughly symmetrical.<br /><br />The first component, the rake, will eat nearly all of the EV of a flat call in a single raised pot, so you actually can't flat long term at maybe 95% of 1/2 games, even with a straddle. It will be in nearly all cases NEGATIVE EV to vpip passively, even with standard ranges which were designed for imaginary conditions by poker "strategists". This is because the strategy of bluffcatching and coolering someone involves too many reciprocal pots where the house wins too much of % of the available EV.<br /><br />Unfortunately, while on the surface intuitively better to to abc players, limping is even worse, because now the equity is likely to be distributed even further, yet it is unlikely that the top end of the speculative range can get paid in a cooler situation non-reciprocally. In other words, by keeping the SPR high at the cost of no isolation, the advantages of limping are diminished in a high rake, low cap, game.<br /><br />So speaking of the cap, the second problem. The cap means nearly all speculative calls are unprofitable because there is no maneuvering in the low spr pot the structure creates to "protect" weak and novice players.<br /><br />Ideally one must move out of this game, and no player once educated would support its existence save those actually interested in losing money, but let's imagine you can't for whatever reason. Both problems are somewhat solved or mitigated through 1) big pots featuring the top end of a linear range 2) preflop aggression which threatens the first condition. Basically this game, for those wishing to win, would be a one street game in general where the pot needs to be as big as possible on the flop (or folded pre) while still leaving a leveraging bet.<br /><br />If you are not all in or threatening all in on a frequent basis it is literally, not figuratively, inevitable that a player will lose money merely by sitting down and taking hands at games like this because of the above points. <br /><br />Poker strategy as imagined by abc and novice players and poker "educators" actually feeds the house, in other words. <br />We can see confirmation of this last point, even if it is surprising to some, in the plethora "tips and tricks" articles, website fluff by freelancers, and other strat detritus which is actively encouraged by those who really benefit from it.<br /><br />GL<br /><br />persuadeohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18337258853109676125noreply@blogger.com