“I
have no idea who the f Bruno Mars is, but I hope he starts at QB for Denver in
the second half.” --Tweet I sent Sunday, February 2,
2014 at 4:55 PM, PST.
“Okay.
If you don't like this halftime, you can unfollow right now.” --Tweet
sent by Chris Hanson, Sunday,
February 2, 2014 at 5:16 PM, PST.
“Just
did.” --Tweet I sent in response the above
Tweet, Sunday, February 2, 2014 at 5:19 PM, PST.
If you like this blog, you really
should be following my Twitter feed. And
if you don’t like this blog, why are even reading this far?
I don’t tweet that much, because let’s
face it, keeping my thoughts to 140 characters is a bit of a challenge for me.
But sometimes I do tweet. Especially during a Super Bowl. Especially during a really, really bad Super
Bowl. I advise you all to check my
Twitter feed for last Sunday. If you’re
not on Twitter, you can see most of my tweets on my Facebook page. But you won’t see
some of the responses, and those are really good.
I’ll get back to my “debate” with
Chris Hanson in a bit.
This past Super Bowl Sunday was unique
for me in a couple of ways.
For the first time I ever, I bet on
the game. I mean a real Sports Book bet,
not just some office football pool where you buy a few squares in grid. Of course I had done the football squares
thing before. But I mean a real bet in a
real sports book where you have to give up some vig for the privilege of
risking your money.
And for the first time ever, I
attended a really big Super Bowl party to watch the game. In the past, I’d always watched the game alone
or in a real small, private gathering of just a few people. Last year was the first time I’d watched the
game in a public place—in a Vegas poker room.
The story of last year’s events was told here.
But that wasn’t a SB party—it was a poker game where a football game (and a
power outage) broke out. This year, I’m
talking about a real party, where the whole purpose of the event was to watch
the game. No poker or gambling of any
kind was taking place at this event. No
gambling, that is, except for all the people there who had wagered on the
game. I estimate approximately
99.99999999997% of the people at the party had bet the game. That percentage might be a bit low.
I want to give a really big public
thank you to Mark, the Poker Room Manager at The LVH. Mark invited me to
attend the VIP “Big Game” party at said LVH.
The LVH has one of the biggest and busiest Sports Books in Vegas (maybe
it is the busiest?) and that’s saying something. I think there were four different big game
parties going on there. So it was
incredibly nice and generous of Mark to offer me free entry to this incredible
football bash.
I had arrived in town a few days
before the game, believing that Super Bowl weekend is a pretty good time to be
playing poker in Vegas (again, see last year’s post). The VIP party at The LVH was just an awesome
bonus.
Once I accepted Mark’s offer, I
realized I had to do something that I think is actually rather
ill-advised. I had to bet the game. I mean, it just seemed to me that if you’re in
Vegas for the Super Bowl, and you’re going to watch it from
one of the biggest Super Bowl parties in town, you really have to bet the game,
right? Right?
That’s what I thought, anyway. Now I just said I think that this is
ill-advised. I mean betting on sports in
general. I know that many of my readers
and my fellow bloggers are totally into sports betting. In fact, some of the blogs on the blog roll
on the right side of this page are partially or mostly dedicated to sports
betting. Check out the fine blogs of Lucki Duck and ~Coach
for example. And if you
want to find out what I think about sports handicappers who are not fine
gentlemen like Lucki Duck and Coach, see the post here.
But honestly, it seems –EV to me. A straight up bet (as opposed to a parlay) has
the house edge of 4.54%. That’s pretty
high. When I played table games instead
of poker, I stuck with games where the house edge was less than 2%, like Craps,
Blackjack, and Pai Gow Poker. The house
edge in sports betting is close to the over 5% edge the house has in roulette—a
game I always avoided like the plague.
It’s hard enough overcoming a 2% edge.
Double that edge? It’s like
pissing in the wind.
But I hear you say that, if you’re
smart, if you know the sports, you can pick the right winners and overcome that
edge. And to that I say, bullshit. Here’s what I know about sports: No one knows anything. Upsets happen all the time. You know…that’s why the play the games.
Just to take one recent example that
for some reason comes to mind, for a certain recent big game, a lot more people
bet on Denver than bet on Seattle. What
morons! Most of them not only bet on
Denver, but they actually gave 2 to 3 points in doing so. They weren’t even worried that Denver would
squeak out a 1 point win (even though the winning team doesn’t really care
whether they win by one point or 50).
Can you imagine anyone that
stupid? Can you believe anyone could be
stupid enough to have bet on Denver and given the points?
Anyway, in all my many visits to Vegas
over the years, I’ve made about 3 or 4 sports bets previously. Just for fun, just for the heck of it, just
because every now and then I actually thought my gut feeling about a game was
especially accurate. And because I
thought the line was wrong. The last
time I bet on a game, it was when the Lakers—then actually a title contender
(seems like eons ago)—were underdogs at home in the opening game of the
strike-shortened season. I figured I
wouldn’t likely have an opportunity any time soon to bet my favorite team when
they were dogs at home. During this
time, the Lakers were never dogs at home.
Never. It was too good a
bet to pass up. In fact, they had the
game won until they totally collapsed in the last minute and lost.
But they lost by only point and they
covered. I won my bet.
Fortunately, that didn’t convince me
to start betting sports. I knew it was
just a fluke.
I didn’t have any special feelings
about the Super Bowl, but as I said, it just seemed like betting the game was
the thing to do. I didn’t want to be the
only person at the VIP party that didn’t have skin in the game.
So, who to bet on? I couldn’t see myself betting on the
over/under. Sitting there screaming,
“Score, anyone, score!” didn’t appeal to me. I had to pick a team.
Since I was basically betting for the
hell of it, and not because I am such a football expert I thought I was smarter
than everyone else betting and handicapping the game, the logical way to bet
was on the team I liked more. Now I hail
from Los Angeles, but my favorite team, the Lakers, weren’t playing. I’m not
sure they would have fared any worse than Denver did, but that’s neither here
nor there.
And there hasn’t been a pro football
team in L.A. since around the time of Red Grange and the single wing. I don’t really have a favorite football
team. I usually pick teams based on
players I like. I also pick against
teams based on players I don’t like. Or coaches.
Or for totally irrational reasons.
Take the New England Patriots, for
example. I always root against
them. Because of a certain basketball
team that will remain nameless, I root against all teams from the Boston
area. Period.
Besides, their coach is a known cheat
who should have been kicked out of football years ago.
And their quarterback has a bunch of
Super Bowl rings and a drop-dead gorgeous wife so he doesn’t need me rooting
for him.
So if the Patriots had made it to the
game, I would have bet on the team playing them.
Unless they played the Seattle
Seahawks. Because, you see, I totally hate
the Seahawks.
I have nothing against the city of
Seattle. Never been there. And the fact that this city invented
ridiculously overpriced coffee doesn’t affect me, since I hate coffee.
But they have a coach I do not care
for. You see, before he took the Seattle
job, Pete Carroll was coach at a certain University in Southern California.
I hate that school. I don’t have a pro football team to call my
own, but I do have a college team to root for.
And that is UCLA. I root for UCLA
in all major sports. I am a Bruin,
through and through.
Pete Carroll went to that other school
and turned their program around. They
were floundering and he went there and took them to a national championship and
made them perennial championship contenders, and for that, I will never forgive
him.
As far as I’m concerned, Seattle is
USC North. Reason enough to loathe them.
And let’s not even start on that
loudmouth, boorish Richard Sherman. I
prefer athletes who win with grace and dignity. It’s a dying art.
I couldn’t think of any reason to not
like Denver. How can anyone not like
Peyton Manning? He’s talented, classy,
incredibly hard-working and dedicated.
And what an amazing story, coming back the way he did from
career-threatening surgery to have maybe the greatest season a QB ever
had? And I probably shouldn’t admit
this, but I’m old enough to remember watching his father play for the
Saints. Great QB on terrible teams.
So Denver was the pick. I’d seen their
two playoff games and was impressed. And
I thought the officials helped Seattle beat the 49’ers. I thought they were a
little lucky to even be in the Super Bowl (remember the roughing the punter
call that wasn’t called?).
And besides, Denver was favored
anyway, so obviously Denver was the better team, right? Now I don’t think in the few bets I’ve made previously
I ever gave points before. I hate doing
that because as I said, the teams don’t care about beating the spread, they
only care about winning. But it was only
2-1/2 points and I figured a one or two point win (by either team) wasn’t very
likely.
I even started listening to sports
talk on the radio driving around town, and every “expert” thought Denver would
win. One guy I heard several nights in
the row said Denver would win by at least two touchdowns.
What could go wrong?
I wasn’t about to go crazy with the
bet. Nothing too big. Just a few bucks. Having money on the game would enhance my
viewing experience, right? I wouldn’t
just be cheering Denver on because I wanted them to win and Seattle to lose. I’d be cheering because I had a financial
stake in the game. I’d be with (at
least) half the crowd at the viewing party cheering them on.
My understanding was that you have bet
10% more than you want to win, the 10% being the house juice. Ok, fair enough. I could risk $55 to win $50. But when I went to the book to make my bet, I
was surprised to be told that the money was coming in so overwhelmingly on the
Broncos that even with the points, it was -$120. Huh? I
didn’t quite understand. But the bottom
line was that I had to bet $60 if I wanted to win $50. Ok, ok, I thought about it for a few seconds
and then went ahead and made the bet.
What’s another five bucks?
Especially since I was going to win the bet anyway.
Game day came, and I headed to LVH and
saw Mark. We had a nice chat about the
Vegas poker scene and how things were going in his room (very well). He gave me my pass and I headed for the
party.
It was a nice set up. A big convention hall (banquet-style seating)
with TV’s everywhere. Food and drink
galore. Hot dogs, chicken wings, sub
sandwiches, Philly cheesesteaks, etc. At
half time they brought out some delicious brownies and chocolate chip
cookies. And all the beer, booze and
soft drinks you could ask for.
Everything was perfect. Until the game started. And went to shit in the first 12 seconds—before
Peyton yelled out “Omaha” even one time.
You know, being with a big group of people to watch a big game is no fun
when the team you’re rooting for is getting the crap beaten out of them. Even worse is knowing that the sports book
ticket in your wallet is only good for toilet paper.
Yeah, I think it’s worse being in a
big crowd when things go wrong like that, putting lie to the expression,
“misery loves company.” The table I was
at was all Bronco fans, so we were miserable together. But the table next to us was all Seattle fans
and they were having a grand ol’ time. It
was sickening. I would much rather be
alone and not have to hear those clowns celebrating my sixty bucks going up in
smoke. Or knowing that Pete bleeping
Carroll was going to be a Super Bowl championship coach. Or knowing that Richard Sherman was probably
going to swallow Erin Andrews whole after the game.
Or realizing that, on this day, I
could have done a better job quarterbacking the Broncos than Peyton Manning
did.
If I had been home, I would have able
to have found something to distract myself.
I probably would have worked on a blog post with the game on in the
background, just in case a miracle happened.
As it was, I was kind of stuck there.
I turned to Twitter to read comments
and post my mini-rants. Which brings us
to the three tweets I opened this post with.
Chris Hanson is a poker guy that I don’t
think I’ve ever had any direct contact with before. We just follow each other because we’re both
into poker. So let me set the stage.
During halftime, I did everything in
my power to ignore the halftime show. I
hate Super Bowl halftime shows. I hate
them. On general principle. I don’t like mixing music with sports. I just don’t.
I think a rock concert has no place at a football game. If you like music, go to a concert. If you like football, watch the damn football
game. There’s no natural connection
between the two and they don’t mix.
If a time machine could bring us the
Beatles, circa 1965, to perform today, I’d say no to having them do halftime at
the game. Let them do their own concert
in a huge venue somewhere, but keep them the hell away from the damn Super
Bowl.
I made a comment as such during last
year’s game, and someone (I’m thinking it was JT88Keys)
called me a “curmudgeon.” To which I
replied, I happily admit to it!
As far as I’m concerned, the entire
downfall of our civilization can be traced back to the decision to put a
freaking concert in the middle of a Super Bowl game.
If it were up to me, we’d go back to
having some crappy High School band entertain the five people left in the
stands who aren’t in line at the bathrooms at the game. And for those of us watching on TV, they
should have nothing but their brilliant analysts telling us what happened in
the first half and what to expect in the second half. That’s what I want at halftime.
Of course, in this game, the analysis
would have taken all of five seconds (“Denver is sucking moose shit through a
straw today, Howie”) but that’s a bad example.
The only halftime show that is
non-football related I would find tolerable would be Kate Upton dancing naked,
center stage. But I’m afraid they would
call that a “wardrobe malfunction.”
So as always, I ignored the halftime
show. I had some vague feeling that I
kinda/sorta knew who Bruno Mars was, but I couldn’t imagine enjoying his
performance unless he looked exactly like Kate Upton and was naked.
So I buried my face in my celphone,
read my Twitter feed, and tuned out the sound coming through the speakers in
the convention center. And enjoyed
reading tweets about the game and making my own. That was a lot more entertaining than the
game.
So after the halftime show, I came
across the tweet from the aforementioned Mr. Hanson praising the show I had
worked so hard to totally ignore.
I couldn’t resist. I was pissed about the game, and now Mr.
Hanson was throwing down the gauntlet. He had demanded that anyone who didn’t
like the halftime show unfollow him. So, reflexively, I clicked “unfollow” on
Chris’s twitter account. I amused myself
doing it. Then I did something I really
can’t believe I did. I sent him back a
tweet that said, “Just did.”
Heh heh. I didn’t expect to hear back from him. Clearly I was in a bad mood. But a few seconds later he did indeed
respond. “What don't u like? Would u
rather it be The Who? Tom Petty? Enjoy the cold.”
OK, ok, I couldn’t really critique the
performance, since I had essentially missed it.
I responded that I don’t like music at halftimes on principle, and he
said I was in the minority in that. I replied that I’m used to that. Then I said I was with the majority in
picking Denver and that wasn’t working out so well for me. He agreed with me on that.
And of course, I immediately went back
to Chris’s Twitter account and re-followed him.
No hard feelings, I trust, Chris?
I just hope Chris was as amused by the whole “feud” as I was!
And then the second half started and
any hopes for a miracle comeback by the Broncos were dashed by a kick-off
return for a touchdown by Seattle to open the half.
At which point I sent out this
tweet: “If the Denver owner doesn't fire
every coach and every player on his team right this minute, he should be
arrested.”
And you pretty much know the rest of
the story. I suffered through most of
the second half because, if I was gonna lose my Super Bowl bet, at least I
wanted to give my best possible effort to eat $60 worth of food. Now, I hadn’t bet life-changing money on the
game, but it was just galling to me to lose a bet because I am so normally
against sports betting and I made a rare exception in this case and I was
getting bitten in the ass by it.
I can’t really say I had a good time,
but that was certainly not the fault of The LVH. They put on a fine party, and again, many
thanks to Mark for the invite. I would
definitely like to visit the alternate universe where Denver won and covered
and it was an exciting game and then I would know how much I would enjoy
watching a Super Bowl at a big Las Vegas viewing party.
The only consolation I can think of is
that there’s no chance that Pete Carroll will be returning to coach USC anytime
soon.
But I did learn a valuable
lesson. Just because you’re in Vegas for
the Super Bowl, and just because you’re going to watch the game at a VIP party
in Vegas, that’s still no excuse for doing anything as stupid as betting
on the game.
And ever since the game, whenever I’m
in a poker room and I hear someone mention an “Omaha” game, I throw up a little
in my mouth.
Omaha!
ReplyDeleteFunny post. I about bet my first sports bet choosing Denver to win. Fortunately the prop bets looked more interesting.
I agree about the halftime shows. Gimme the commercials and commentary - No Music.
Omaha!
Thanks,TM...but not for the Omaha reminder. I'm in favor of the entire state of Nebraska seceding from the Union.
DeleteGreat post, and totally devoid of sarcasm (which is good, because I'm not a big fan of it)... :D I'll obviously talk to you when I return to Las Vegas, but I'll also let you borrow the book that I referenced in my blog recently (if you're interested). Among some of the great things about sports betting are that you have the right to choose any game that you want, you can bet either side of it, and you get to choose the amount that you wager. You nailed one of the great reasons given to bet on a specific game when you referenced your Lakers bet - "I thought the line was wrong..." And as far as "upsets happen all the time..." Well, so do suckouts... ;) Have a good one!
ReplyDeleteSarcasm? Me???
DeleteI never use sarcasm.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever!
Not sure what book you mean...is a Sports Book (sorry)?
The difference between sports betting and poker is: if you like the sport (football, baseball, basketball, whatever) you can enjoy the game for the sport itself without ever risking a penny. You can't possibly enjoy poker unless there's money at risk.
Rob for Super Bowl Halftime Producer!!! Only if he can book Kate :)
ReplyDeleteWho's with me!
Yeah! Let's see if anyone is talking about Bruno Mars after my halftime show!
DeleteIt does seem like that idea has its merits... :)
DeleteIt does, doesn't it? I really can't imagine one person in America who would object. Oh, except for Kate.
DeleteI don't think I referred to you as a curmudgeon. I just tweeted at you in support of young Mr. Mars. I think he is a great musician.
ReplyDeleteI don't remember you tweeting to me about this recent Super Bowl. But I was talking about LAST YEAR. I had tweeted that music has no place in a Super Bowl (same point I made in this post), you said, and I quote: "The word curmudgeon comes to mind." I replied "I cop to it."
DeleteYou can check your Twitter feed from 2/3/13.
As an aside, it was a royal pain to scroll through all your tweets to find that. You tweet much too much, Jeff. You need to tweet less and blog more. :)
Ahhh...I probably did say that. I tend to refer to myself as a curmudgeon quite a bit too. I've kinda turned into the guy that yells at the kids to get the hell off my lawn.
DeleteYeah, cuz they're slackers!
Delete"I don’t tweet that much, because let’s face it, keeping my thoughts to 140 characters is a bit of a challenge for me"
ReplyDeleteTruer words were never spoken. x 100,000
That joke was put in just for you guys's benefit.
DeleteThank you, Captain Obvious. However, it did get you trafiic on twitter and your blog, so it is all good, right? Muhahahahaha.
DeleteI used to be Sergeant Obvious. Thanks for the promotion.
Delete