At first I thought this post should be
called, “Variance, Part 2” since it was about another up and down session at
Player’s Casino, just like the one I described here.
It occurred exactly one week after that session.
But then I realized that the real focus
of this post is going to be how badly I played a single hand, costing myself a
decently profitable session. My
intentions were good, I’ll say that. Of
course, there’s that expression that the road to hell is paved with good
intentions. I know have to get out of the same old rut when I play and somehow
expand my game from being a full-time nit.
Whenever I try that, however, it seems I just turn into a donkey. In this session, I played a hand in a manner
I never usually play it, way out of my comfort zone, and got bitten on the
ass. So, either I need to stop playing
out of my comfort zone, or I need to actually learn how to play poker.
It was the same 2/3 game I always play
there, and as always, I bought in for the $300 max. After a few orbits of
nothing, I finally got a hand to play—pocket Jacks. I bet $12, had one caller, and saw an Ace
high flop which was all diamonds, unlike either of my Jacks. I c-bet $16 and took it down.
Next hand worth playing was pocket
Queens on the button. Everyone limped
in. Yes, everyone. So I bet $30 and took it down.
Then I got the dreaded pocket Kings. I
opened to $12, had two callers, saw a Jack-high flop and made a c-bet of
$25. Both players folded.
The very next hand, I got pocket Kings
again! Again, I raised to $12. This time only the player behind me called, a
white-haired gentleman who was the nittiest player at the table. The flop was
Ace-high. I bet $16 and the gentleman
took a bit of time to decide. He finally
called. I read his hesitation as him
having a weak Ace. Ordinarily I might be
tempted to check the turn, but I had a strong feeling that another bet could
get him to fold his weak Ace. So on a
brick turn, I put out $30 and he indeed folded.
A bit later I got pocket Queens
again. The table’s designated maniac—I’ll
have a lot more to say about him in a minute—opened for $20. I should have three-bet him for sure. But I just nitily called. We were heads up. The flop was Jack-high and he checked. I bet $30 and he called. The turn was a blank and he checked
again. This time I put out $100 and he
folded. I overheard him mutter something
about “lousy Ace-King” to his buddy, who was sitting between the two of us.
So let me tell you about this guy…the
table’s designated maniac. I’ll refer to
him as DM from now on. He was a
older/middle-aged white guy. A few
minutes after I got situated into seat 9 (the tables are 9-handed), he came
over to the older/middle-aged white guy who was in seat 8. The greeted each other like long lost
pals—the guy in seat 8 stood up and they hugged. Looked a little weird for a couple of
older/middle-aged white guys to be doing that, if you ask me. It was obvious that they were just bumping
into each other coincidentally and this had not been a planned meet-up. The new guy sat on the food/beverage tray
that was already between seats 8 & 9 when I got there and chatted up his
bud. He was waiting to get called into a
game—any game, as far as I could tell.
He didn’t seem to care which one.
Eventually he was called into our game, in seat 7, right next to his
pal.
The very first hand he was dealt, he
opened for $25. Then he said to his
buddy, “I do that a lot. At least you’re
on my left.” So was I, just one seat
over, and I was pretty glad about that.
He occasionally limped, and
occasionally folded preflop, but more often than not he raised pre. And never less than $20. He probably made it $25 (and sometimes $30)
about 25% more often than he made it $20.
He’d go bigger if there were limpers.
Didn’t three-bet a huge amount of the time but when he did he’d make it
really, really big.
After the flop (when called) he could
fold for sure, but he rarely checked. He
bet pretty much every flop he had raised pre.
He did make some loose calls apparently (didn’t show his cards so hard
to know what he had) but again, he was capable of folding.
This pattern led me to make an
absolutely perfect read on a hand I wasn’t involved in. He raised to $25 after a limper or two and
had three callers. The flop was
Queen-9-9, two diamonds. The first three
players all checked, and he bet….$25.
That’s it. He had never, ever bet
that small on the flop after he had raised.
Not even close. He was much more
likely to bet more than the pot than he was to bet 1/4 of the pot. I was shocked. I actually said to myself, “It’s almost like
he flopped quads there.”
He had two callers and then a third
diamond hit the turn. It was checked to
him and he bet $65. A very small bet for
a pot that was now $175. But no one
called him. He showed his hand….pocket
9’s! I was right. He bet small cuz he flopped a monster. He said, “I thought someone might have had
the flush….”
Anyway, I was in the big blind with
Ace-Jack off and shockingly enough, DM folded on the button. Five of us saw the flop. It was 9-5-2, two spades. I did have the Ace of spades. So with back door straight and flush draws
and overcards, I thought I had enough to call the small blind’s $10 bet. The guy on my left, the older gentleman who I
had beaten with my pocket Kings earlier, also called. Then a guy made it $25. The small blind called. I shrugged my shoulders and put out another
$15 even though it was probably a bad call.
I didn’t think for a minute the old guy would raise and the pot was now
getting up there, I figured I’d take a shot.
The turn was a four and thus gave me a
gutshot. The flush possibility was gone
though. The small blind bet again…only
$10. That was just odd, I couldn’t
figure that out. But I figured I’d come
too far to fold for ten bucks. Then to
my shock, the old guy did indeed raise…but only to $20. I wondered if the guy who had made it $25 on
the turn was going to come over the top, but no, he only called the $20. The small blind just called and so for
another ten bucks I could see the river.
And the river was pretty good….a 3.
But it was a spade, my wheel could be losing to a flush—or to a bigger
straight. Small blind bet again…only
$25. I called, hoping no one behind would
make a bigger bet and put me in a tough situation. But the white-haired gentleman just called
and the last guy folded.
What did they all have? Well, the small blind had 9-3 for two pair. The old guy showed Ace-3 offsuit. Holy cow. He had turned the straight but only
raised $10 to $20 when it hit? He
obviously should have bet a lot more. I
mean, I hate to be like the Norwegian guy from my last post, but sir, “You didn’t bet enough.” I was happy that he kept me in to chop the
pot with him, I still made more than a few bucks from the other two
players. And unlike my Norwegian friend,
I didn’t say a word to the other gentleman about his bet sizing. Definitely one of the weirdest hands I can
recall. Crazy bet-sizing all the way
through.
At this point I had about $425 or so
in front of me. And if you’ve been
paying attention, you will see that the only hands I had raised with so far
were big pairs…Jacks, Queens, Kings. I
had not been dealt AK, AQ, KQ, suited Aces or suited connectors once all
day. The couple of times I had pairs
smaller than Jacks, I just called raises with them. The Ace-Jack off hand, where I might have
raised from a different position, I just checked from the big blind.
Which leads me to the (nightmare) hand
of the day. In middle position, I looked
down at Ace-King offsuit. And of course,
before it got to me, DM opened for $25. What
to do, what to do? Perhaps to my
detriment, I rarely three-bet Ace-King, it’s something I’ve talked about
before. But if ever there was a time to
do it, this sure seemed like it. DM had
less chips than me, but to be honest, I kind of over-estimated how much he had
at the moment. With his maniacal ways,
he had already busted twice and rebought a full $300 after each time. Sometimes I’d see him with a huge
stack….sometimes he’d be down to less than $100. His stack was changing dramatically each
hand, it seemed. He had a lot of $1
chips and he wasn’t stacking his chips in a normal way, he had huge towers, not
stacks of 10 or 20. I really thought he
had more than he did.
So I fought off my overwhelming
inclination to play this like I always play Ace-King. Instead of just calling, I raised. I put out $80. That got everyone behind me to fold quickly,
but DM just counted out his $55 and made the call. I thought there was a least a reasonable
chance he’d fold. I mean, he was clearly
opening with any two cards and had played with me long enough to see me as
being very tight. This was my first
three-bet of the day. OTOH, he might
have figured I was smart enough to take advantage of my image and also to
realize he was raising very light. One
thing I didn’t consider: he might not
have cared about the money very much.
Like or dislike my play so far?
The flop was Queen-Queen-10. And he checked. Now what do I do?
Sure he could have had a Queen. But with his wide range, the flop had most
likely missed him. So I thought of doing what I’d almost always do in that
situation—continuation bet. I even had
the gutshot if I needed it. If he
called, I had outs (unless he flopped a boat or quads).
With nothing though, and $160 in the
pot, should I have just checked behind and let it go—unless I caught a Jack?
I remembered the time he said he had
Ace-King and folded when I double barreled my Queens. I figured if I bet, there was an excellent
chance he’d fold.
What to bet? Well, I admit, I didn’t pay enough attention
to how much he had. My bet was based on
the size of the pot, which was $160. I
suppose I could have bet $100. But I
thought a little more would be better. I
took a stack of $100, added five more chips, and put out $125.
He didn’t take long to say, “all-in.” I threw up a little a little in my mouth. He didn’t have enough more than my bet for it
to be a bluff. Not that Ace-high was
much of a bluff-catcher. Once I saw him
push all the rest of his chips out, I could eyeball it and I realized that it
wasn’t nearly enough more than my bet for me to fold. Not with the pot that big. I didn’t bother with the count, it was like
$50-$60 more than my bet, so I couldn’t fold.
But I knew I had f’d this one up
good. We didn’t show. I caught an Ace on the river but it did no
good against his Queen-Jack offsuit. He
had one of my four outs—his Jack was the card I needed. (Edited to add: As pointed out by Grange in the first comment, a Jack would have given him a full house and thus not have done me much good. Well I didn't know he had the Jack when I got the money in but it just makes my play even worse than I thought).
And when the dealer paid him off, I
was down to about $180 or so, and feeling rather ill. I would love some feedback on how I should
have played this. Obviously if I had
taken my normal line I would have been out only $25 instead of over $200. Should I just have done that? Or was there something in the middle that I
should have done? Three-bet but checked
the flop? Put out a very small bet on
the flop just to test the waters? What?
And btw, I know I screwed up, but man,
calling my three-bet with Queen-Jack off?
Seriously? Well, damned if it
didn’t work and get DM a nice double up.
A few hands later, still reeling, I
called DM’s $6 straddle with Ace-10 of spades.
Another player made it $20, DM just called so I did as well. The flop had two spades. Preflop raiser led out for $25. DM bumped it to $75. I have to admit that the mood I was in, I
wanted to just shove my stack in there and hope for the best. And you know, I might have done that but I
didn’t want the preflop raiser to fold.
I figured DM would have called but I wanted the preflop raiser in so if
I did catch my flush, I’d get more money.
So I just called. I guess you
could say I was on tilt.
But the preflop raiser thought for a
bit and folded. The turn was the most beautiful Queen of Spades I’d ever
seen. Also beautiful? The sound of DM’s voice saying “all-in.” I snap-called. The river was a harmless red card. I didn’t wait for him to show though I should
have, I just knew I was getting a good chunk of my money back so I showed my
nut flush. He said nice hand, claimed to
have two pair, but didn’t show.
Up to around $440, I wish I could end
this post there. But no, there’s a
couple of more bad hands to report. I
raised to $20 with pocket Queens and another player made it $60. He had three-bet exactly one other time and
showed Aces then. I recalled one hand
where he bluffed on the river but I had to assume he had a big pair. I think I might have folded pre but DM called
the $60 and announced, “I apologize in advance for the bad beat I’m going to
give you.” Ok, I figured I should call pretty
much with the thought of set-mining only.
The flop was Jack-high. We both checked to the three-bettor. He tanked for awhile and then shoved—about
$180 it looked like. DM folded and so
did I. Honestly, the smallest hand I
could see him three-betting with was pocket Jacks, and I didn’t like my Queens
against a set of them. Ace-King seemed
like a remote possibility. So I ditched
the ladies. The guy kindly showed his
hand…two Aces. He looked at me and asked, “What did you
fold? Queens?” I didn’t say anything, but I kind of laughed
involuntarily. He said, “Wow, if you
threw away Queens you’re a really good player.”
I wanted to respond, “Did you see how I played Ace-King back there,
sir?”
I called DM’s $25 open with Ace-King
of hearts (no way I was three-betting that hand again, not on this day). Four of us saw the flop, which was Queen-Jack-9,
one heart. After a check, the guy in
front of DM donked out $25. DM called, I
called, the next guy called and the guy who had initially checked made it
$75. Now it was too pricy to chase my gutshot
and my back door flush so I folded after DM did. The other guy called. Turned out the check-raiser had a set of
Jacks and the other guy had a straight draw which hit when the river was an
8. He had 10-something but didn’t catch
his straight until the river.
DM busted out to someone else and
didn’t rebuy this time. There didn’t
seem to be a likelihood of winning much as the table was now short-handed. I called it a day with a mighty $10
profit.
Could have had a nice day if I hadn’t
screwed up that Ace-King hand so badly.
Please someone, tell me how to play that. Thanks.