My first day back in Vegas last
month. It was a Thursday. As I arrived in Vegas in the middle of the
afternoon, I suddenly remembered that MGM had extended its football promo to
include the Thursday night game. Hmm….I
was catching up on my Twitter feed over lunch and I saw that the game this
night was Denver vs. San Diego.
Intuitively I felt that would be a high scoring game. That mattered because of the way the promo
works---they pick a random poker player every time there’s a score in the game,
winner draws between $100 and $500. The
more scoring, the more money they give away and the more likely it is that a
random person playing poker—me, for instance—gets selected to win some money.
I decided to make sure I was playing
poker at the MGM by 5:30PM, the time the game started (here on the West
Coast). I had had a late enough lunch so
that I could hold off on dinner until after the game.
I got into a game just a few minutes
before the football game started. Note:
to save you some suspense, although there were 8 scores in the game—all
TD’s—yours truly was never selected for a cash prize.
For a good hour or so I was totally
card dead. I had two playable hands,
Ace-Jack suited both times. I raised preflop
and didn’t get calls either time.
I managed to drip down to about $110
from my $200 buy-in. One hand that hurt
was when I turned a straight and lost to a rivered flush.
Then Max came to deal. Max is my all time bad beat dealer. When you’re a regular in a room, you start to
notice that some things happen more regularly with certain dealers than
others. Some dealers seem to bring you
good luck; others just the opposite. As
well documented here, the dealer I call Michelle is the dealer who rarely pushes me a pot.
But she doesn’t usually cost me a lot of money. Most of the time, she just never gives me any
cards to play, or gives me hands that I can get away from easily.
But Max is different. I can win pots with him dealing. Small pots.
Very small pots. But as soon as
the pot gets big, I’m in trouble. If I’m
all in on the turn with the stone-cold nuts and Max is dealing, you can be sure
that the other player is going to hit his one-outer against me.
More often than not, when I’ve talked
about big pots that I lost, if I didn’t mention the dealer’s name, it was Max.
So Max dealt me pocket 10’s and I raised
to $8 in early position. Two others
called. The flop was 10-8-5,
rainbow. Hmm……I decided to slow play
it. I checked. The next player checked. The last player to act was Asian. Not really a “Crazian,” just borderline more
aggressive than your average 1-2 player.
He started to grab some chips to bet……but after thinking about it some
more, he checked too.
The turn was a 3, a second card of one
of the suits already out there. I had to
try to get some value for my top set now, so I put out $15. The next guy folded, but the Asian made it
$30. He had me covered. Hmm.
Did he really, really like his
hand? Or was he trying to get me to fold
for cheap? I thought about just calling,
but decided against it. I put out $40, a
$25 raise. Also about half my stack,
give-or-take. He called.
River was a deuce. No flush was possible, but it was conceivable
he had a small straight. I didn’t think
that was very likely. And then I
remembered it was Max dealing. Suddenly
I put the odds of my opponent playing Ace-4 at less than even money. Sigh.
No matter, I knew I couldn’t really think that way, I had to bet, of
course. I put out the rest of my chips and he snap called. I
showed my top set. The Asian groaned and
showed his set of 3’s. Which he had
turned, not flopped. Slow playing may
have paid off.
Before Max was finished with his down,
he sent me a pair of Aces. I was in the
small blind, a number of folks limped. I
made it $14. The player under-the-gun,
who had limped in, called and then the aforementioned Asian, who had also
limped in, shoved. By this time his
stack was down to less than $80. It
folded back to me. I didn’t bother asking for a count. My only question was, should I just call and
see if the UTG player wanted to come in, or shove and make it more unlikely he’d
call? I went with shoving, because I’d
just assume play my Aces heads up if I can.
I know that some of you would be ok playing them three-handed.
The UTG player did indeed fold. The Asian showed his hand, Ace-King off,
which I was quite happy about. I showed
my pocket rockets. The board was all low
cards. I remember two 4’s and a 5, not
sure what else. One of the original
limpers said he had 5-4, but of course, he folded to my original raise. A woman said she would have caught a
straight, but she folded to the Asian’s shove.
The UTG player said he had Queen-10 suited and although he called my
$14, he wouldn’t have called the Asian’s shove if I had just flatted.
That was a decent pot. The most amazing thing was not that my Aces
held up, but that it was with Max dealing. This is just the type of hand he’s clobbered
me with in the past, just like the previous hand. Maybe Max will now become my lucky
dealer? I’m not counting on it.
I was now up around $160. And the same player was responsible for most
of my stack, thank you very much. I lost some chips calling a fairly big raise
(maybe $15) with pocket 7’s. The raiser
was short stacked so I ordinarily wouldn’t have called, but a guy with a stack
bigger than mine also called so I thought I might be able to get paid if I hit
a set. I missed and there were nothing
but high cards on the flop. Easy fold.
The football game was winding down,
and players started to leave. There
weren’t enough players on the board to replace them all, and I felt confident
that the game was going to break (very typical that a game or two breaks after
the NFL game is over on football promo nights).
So it was easy to decide to cash out for dinner. Once I was headed for food, I thought about
it and decided it would be nice to book a nice little win to get my trip off to
a good start. I was tired from the long
drive to town anyway, so why take a chance on losing my profit due to fatigue? I called it an early night and booked a $130
win for my first night in Vegas.
sweeeeeeeet post. nice win. elvira is sexy not soo much in person BUT the big BOOBIES help TGIF
ReplyDeleteThanks, Anger. I'm pretty sure I encountered Elvira in her real persona many years ago, tho the details are sketchy.
DeleteBut her costume is a tribute to the Wonder bra.
Dont call 7.5x raises in a 3 way pot with a small pair....its burning money even with the one larger stack in there...you are putting 15 into a 30ish pot with a 12% hand.....implied odds cant overcome that
ReplyDeleteThanks Bill.....there are two competing "Ed Miller strategies" here. One is that he's pretty much always calling a raise with one of his starting hands--and pocket 7's is one of those hands. The other is that you need to be able to win (or be confident you can win) 10-12 x the bet you call if you hit your set.
DeleteBut.....in order for a set to pay off that well, not only do you have to hit but the opponent(s) have to get enough of the flop to pay you off. A guy raising with Ace-King isn't going to stack off if he misses. A guy raising with QQ or JJ may not pay you off if there's an overcard on board.
right.....believe me it took me 100,000 hands to start to open fold small pairs to a raise....but since i have started doing it I have saved a ton of money and money saved is profit too...in a loose game with 5+ players to the flop and average raises of 3x conditions are right...but 3 ways costing 7.5x with a shortie in there....i don't see how thats a profitable play
DeleteYes, very valid. Thanks again.
Delete